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Advance/Decline Analysis in Defining Support Levels

(Indicators based on the "advances" and "declines" concept)


Description: Developing a trading strategy based on an historical advance/decline patterns on the S&P 500 index. Technical analysis and trading system based on the advance/decline stocks (issues) and volume.

You may find detailed explanation of the table below in the "Mid-Term Advance/Decline Analysis" article". The lattes critically low advance/decline readings could be checked by the "Advance/Decline Ratio calculator".

Table 1. Magnitude of up-trends (recovery rallies) following critical A/D issues and A/D volume ratios.

Date Index Critical A/D Issues Ratio Critical A/D Volume Ratio Magnitude of Uptrend (Recovery Rally)
8/19/2010 S&P 500 0.04 0.11 0.6%
8/11/2010 S&P 500 0.02 0.02 1.0%
7/16/2010 S&P 500 0.02 0.03 6.0%
6/29/2010 S&P 500 0.00 0.00 5.6%
6/24/2010 S&P 500 0.08 0.06 0.9%
6/22/2010 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 0.4%
6/4/2010 S&P 500 0.01 0.00 6.2%
6/1/2010 S&P 500 0.04 0.06 3.3%
5/20/2010 S&P 500 0.01 0.00 3.0%
5/18/2010 S&P 500 0.11 0.10 0.3%
5/14/2010 S&P 500 0.02 0.02 0.5%
5/7/2010 S&P 500 0.12 0.12 5.7%
5/4/2010 S&P 500 0.04 0.05 0.2%
4/27/2010 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 2.2%
4/16/2010 S&P 500 0.10 0.06 2.3%
2/23/2010 S&P 500 0.10 0.13 10.9%
2/4/2010 S&P 500 0.02 0.05 4.7%
1/22/2010 S&P 500 0.10 0.12 1.2%
11/27/2009 S&P 500 0.01 0.01 5.4%
11/19/2009 S&P 500 0.07 0.09 1.6%
10/30/2009 S&P 500 0.03 0.03 7.5%
10/28/2009 S&P 500 0.06 0.11 2.3%
10/1/2009 S&P 500 0.05 0.04 7.0%
9/1/2009 S&P 500 0.06 0.04 8.2%
8/17/2009 S&P 500 0.08 0.06 6.1%
7/2/2009 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 13.4%
6/22/2009 S&P 500 0.10 0.05 4.3%
6/15/2009 S&P 500 0.05 0.11 0.4%
5/13/2009 S&P 500 0.08 0.10 8.2%
3/30/2009 S&P 500 0.06 0.05 18.1%
3/2/2009 S&P 500 0.01 0.01 18.8%
2/17/2009 S&P 500 0.02 0.02 1.0%
2/10/2009 S&P 500 0.02 0.02 1.5%
1/29/2009 S&P 500 0.08 0.08 3.5%
1/20/2009 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 9.0%
1/14/2009 S&P 500 0.05 0.03 1.8%
1/9/2009 S&P 500 0.11 0.13 0.0%
12/1/2008 S&P 500 0.00 0.00 15.6%
11/20/2008 S&P 500 0.05 0.08 18.9%
11/14/2008 S&P 500 0.08 0.10 1.1%
11/12/2008 S&P 500 0.03 0.04 7.0%
11/6/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.05 5.2%
10/22/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.07 12.3%
10/15/2008 S&P 500 0.01 0.03 8.5%
10/9/2008 S&P 500 0.02 0.04 14.8%
10/7/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.03 2.5%
9/29/2008 S&P 500 0.00 0.00 5.6%
9/17/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 9.4%
9/15/2008 S&P 500 0.03 0.05 1.9%
9/9/2008 S&P 500 0.09 0.10 2.5%
9/4/2008 S&P 500 0.05 0.04 3.0%
8/18/2008 S&P 500 0.12 0.09 1.9%
6/26/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.05 2.3%
6/20/2008 S&P 500 0.10 0.13 1.3%
6/11/2008 S&P 500 0.09 0.10 2.3%
6/6/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.05 0.7%
5/7/2008 S&P 500 0.08 0.08 3.4%
4/11/2008 S&P 500 0.09 0.07 6.7%
3/14/2008 S&P 500 0.06 0.04 7.7%
3/6/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.07 2.2%
2/29/2008 S&P 500 0.03 0.05 1.0%
2/5/2008 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 3.9%
1/17/2008 S&P 500 0.11 0.13 4.7%
1/15/2008 S&P 500 0.05 0.05 0.8%
1/4/2008 S&P 500 0.06 0.04 1.3%
12/27/2007 S&P 500 0.05 0.09 0.8%
12/11/2007 S&P 500 0.04 0.09 2.3%
11/26/2007 S&P 500 0.11 0.09 7.9%
11/7/2007 S&P 500 0.03 0.06 1.1%
11/1/2007 S&P 500 0.04 0.07 0.8%
10/19/2007 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 3.3%
9/7/2007 S&P 500 0.06 0.05 8.4%
8/28/2007 S&P 500 0.04 0.05 4.4%
8/14/2007 S&P 500 0.07 0.05 3.7%
8/3/2007 S&P 500 0.05 0.04 4.9%
7/26/2007 S&P 500 0.05 0.09 0.4%
7/24/2007 S&P 500 0.06 0.07 0.9%
6/7/2007 S&P 500 0.04 0.07 4.4%
5/10/2007 S&P 500 0.08 0.12 3.3%
3/13/2007 S&P 500 0.03 0.06 9.8%
2/27/2007 S&P 500 0.00 0.00 0.9%
11/27/2006 S&P 500 0.07 0.10 5.8%
6/12/2006 S&P 500 0.12 0.12 13.8%
6/5/2006 S&P 500 0.05 0.05 0.6%
5/17/2006 S&P 500 0.09 0.12 1.6%
1/20/2006 S&P 500 0.11 0.09 5.2%
10/5/2005 S&P 500 0.09 0.13 8.2%
8/16/2005 S&P 500 0.09 0.11 2.0%
4/13/2005 S&P 500 0.10 0.13 6.1%
1/4/2005 S&P 500 0.10 0.13 3.5%
12/7/2004 S&P 500 0.11 0.11 3.5%
8/5/2004 S&P 500 0.05 0.06 10.8%
5/17/2004 S&P 500 0.11 0.08 5.7%
4/13/2004 S&P 500 0.07 0.11 1.5%
3/22/2004 S&P 500 0.10 0.11 5.0%
9/22/2003 S&P 500 0.10 0.13 13.7%
8/5/2003 S&P 500 0.07 0.05 7.7%
6/23/2003 S&P 500 0.10 0.10 3.4%
5/19/2003 S&P 500 0.05 0.06 10.3%
3/24/2003 S&P 500 0.02 0.02 9.8%
3/10/2003 S&P 500 0.03 0.06 10.9%
3/4/2003 S&P 500 0.10 0.12 1.0%
1/24/2003 S&P 500 0.04 0.09 0.8%
12/27/2002 S&P 500 0.06 0.08 6.8%
9/19/2002 S&P 500 0.09 0.09 13.2%
9/12/2002 S&P 500 0.10 0.12 1.8%
9/3/2002 S&P 500 0.04 0.04 5.3%
8/13/2002 S&P 500 0.11 0.10 9.2%
8/5/2002 S&P 500 0.11 0.11 9.6%
7/19/2002 S&P 500 0.07 0.13 7.7%
7/2/2002 S&P 500 0.08 0.10 4.8%
6/3/2002 S&P 500 0.05 0.03 0.9%
1/29/2002 S&P 500 0.09 0.06 6.6%
9/17/2001 S&P 500 0.12 0.14 13.2%
6/14/2001 S&P 500 0.11 0.12 1.7%
4/3/2001 S&P 500 0.09 0.09 19.1%
3/12/2001 S&P 500 0.07 0.05 1.6%
4/14/2000 S&P 500 0.02 0.01 12.8%
3/23/1999 S&P 500 0.08 0.06 23.0%
8/31/1998 S&P 500 0.06 0.03 38.0%
8/27/1998 S&P 500 0.06 0.04 0.9%
8/4/1998 S&P 500 0.07 0.07 3.1%
4/27/1998 S&P 500 0.08 0.06 9.5%
1/9/1998 S&P 500 0.03 0.02 22.1%
10/27/1997 S&P 500 0.00 0.00 12.5%
10/23/1997 S&P 500 0.08 0.11 1.0%
8/15/1997 S&P 500 0.08 0.14 9.0%
Since June 1, 1997

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Tags: S&P 500, trading strategy, trading system, technical analysis, support, Advance decline



 

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